POSITIVE statistics on early voting in Ohio
as appearing in a memo from Jeremy Bird, National Field Director for the Obama campaign, that is being widely distributed via a tweet from Ben LaBolt
All national polling organizations who have surveyed preference of early voters - including Rasmussen - find a significant lead for Obama, ranging from +19 in SurveyUSa to +52 for PPP
Data on new registrants in 2012 include that 81% of those registering this yea are "either female, younger than 30, or African-American or Latino – all demographics that
strongly favor President Obama." 64% of these live in counties that Obama carried four years ago.
55% of the requests for early votes are females, up from 52% four years ago. There is a 55,636 advantage in requests from precincts won by Obama in 2004 versus those won by McCain.
Ohio does not have registration by party. But there is this interesting set of observations from the memo:
All national polling organizations who have surveyed preference of early voters - including Rasmussen - find a significant lead for Obama, ranging from +19 in SurveyUSa to +52 for PPP
Data on new registrants in 2012 include that 81% of those registering this yea are "either female, younger than 30, or African-American or Latino – all demographics that
strongly favor President Obama." 64% of these live in counties that Obama carried four years ago.
55% of the requests for early votes are females, up from 52% four years ago. There is a 55,636 advantage in requests from precincts won by Obama in 2004 versus those won by McCain.
Ohio does not have registration by party. But there is this interesting set of observations from the memo:
Because Republicans had a competitive primary this year and Democrats did not, as Professor McDonald points out, Republicans have a 460,000-person edge this year in past primary voters –or what Romney’s campaign is disingenuously referring to as voters registered as Republicans.Despite our smaller numbers, however, Democratic primary voters are outvoting Republican primary voters by a wide margin across the state. A greater percentage of Democratic primary
