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Sunday, May 5, 2013

UFT elections: another look at New Action and MORE votes | JD2718

UFT elections: another look at New Action and MORE votes | JD2718:


UFT elections: another look at New Action and MORE votes

We’ve already seen that votes flipped to New Action from ICE/TJC in 2010, and back to MORE in 2013.
But has the overall non-Unity vote changed? I’m hardly the first to draw this conclusion. It has changed, but not much.
Let’s start with the raw numbers:
YearELEMMS/JHS/ISHigh SchoolFunctionalRetirees
NACI/T/MNACI/T/MNACI/T/MNACI/T/MNACI/T/M
20045561,2393114227001,4175129901,558872
20075621,3372734445211,5245481,0321,6161,061
20109787034212487741,3691,1757082,2341,037
20135341,1401613984521,4307549511,8801,490
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Let’s examine non-Unity votes taken as a single unit:
YearELEMMS/JHS/ISHigh SchoolFunctionalRetirees
20041,7957332,1171,5022,430
20071,8997172,0451,5802,677
20101,6816692,1431,8833,271
20131,6745591,8821,7053,370
It might be hard to absorb from a table how uninteresting these numbers are. Try a graph:
non-Unity vote
The overall flatness is quite apparent. But there are some exceptions. The total number of retirees voting for a caucus other than Unity has increased in absolute terms. Both New Action and the other group(s) have benefited. A second shift, small, and hard to see in the noise, New Action has a small but real increase in votes