UFT elections: another look at New Action and MORE votes | JD2718

UFT elections: another look at New Action and MORE votes | JD2718:

UFT elections: another look at New Action and MORE votes

by jd2718

We’ve already seen that votes flipped to New Action from ICE/TJC in 2010, and back to MORE in 2013.
But has the overall non-Unity vote changed? I’m hardly the first to draw this conclusion. It has changed, but not much.
Let’s start with the raw numbers:

Year	ELEM			MS/JHS/IS			High School			Functional			Retirees
	NAC	I/T/M		NAC	I/T/M		NAC	I/T/M		NAC	I/T/M		NAC	I/T/M
2004	556	1,239		311	422		700	1,417		512	990		1,558	872
2007	562	1,337		273	444		521	1,524		548	1,032		1,616	1,061
2010	978	703		421	248		774	1,369		1,175	708		2,234	1,037
2013	534	1,140		161	398		452	1,430		754	951		1,880	1,490

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Let’s examine non-Unity votes taken as a single unit:

Year	ELEM	MS/JHS/IS	High School	Functional	Retirees
2004	1,795	733	2,117	1,502	2,430
2007	1,899	717	2,045	1,580	2,677
2010	1,681	669	2,143	1,883	3,271
2013	1,674	559	1,882	1,705	3,370

It might be hard to absorb from a table how uninteresting these numbers are. Try a graph:

The overall flatness is quite apparent. But there are some exceptions. The total number of retirees voting for a caucus other than Unity has increased in absolute terms. Both New Action and the other group(s) have benefited. A second shift, small, and hard to see in the noise, New Action has a small but real increase in votes