Ralston 's analysis of early NV Vote - not good for Romney
as you can read in Democrats end with 71,000-voter lead in Clark, near dead heat in Washoe
some snips:
some snips:
bottom line: The credible polls on both sides would have to be wrong -- i.e. Romney would have to win independents by a large margin -- for him to win Nevada.
No rural updates from Friday, but Democrats were losing by about 20,000 voters there. Some
Latest from Sam Wang - more good news
As of November 3, 3:00PM EDT:
Obama: 323
Romney: 215
Meta-margin: Obama +2.98%
Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 98.0%, Bayesian Prediction 99.8%
Not much of a diary, but his full site still not up so this
Obama: 323
Romney: 215
Meta-margin: Obama +2.98%
Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 98.0%, Bayesian Prediction 99.8%
Not much of a diary, but his full site still not up so this
PPP Michigan - Obama + 6, and more
and quite a bit more
Obama 52-46
Stabenow 55-42
real issue are Proposals, all of which are headed to defeat
Keeping Emergency Manager Law 35-45
(Repubs only support 40-38)
NOTE - this means that signature legislation of Governor is rejected and democracy is reestablished somewhat -
Obama 52-46
Stabenow 55-42
real issue are Proposals, all of which are headed to defeat
Keeping Emergency Manager Law 35-45
(Repubs only support 40-38)
NOTE - this means that signature legislation of Governor is rejected and democracy is reestablished somewhat -