an oddity noted at Nate Silver's blog
and you can see it without having to use up any of your 10/mo quota on the Times website
simply go to his site
If you scroll down, looking on the right, besides his projections of EVs national, and percentages nationally and before you get to probabiities by state you will arrve at a chart called Electoral Vote Distribution which shows the most frequently occurring totals of electoral votes when he runs his simulations..
IF I am reading it correctly, it seems the most frequently occurring scenario is 332, which would be all battlegrounds except NC.
Second would be 347, which would be all battlegrounds
Third would be 303, which means Romney picks off FL and NC
fourth would be 290, meaning Romney also gets Virginia.
IF you add together ALL of the probabilities for these four scenarios, I think they total to around 35-26%
Not saying it means anything, just something I noticed.
Now I have to go board a plane.
Enjoy.
simply go to his site
If you scroll down, looking on the right, besides his projections of EVs national, and percentages nationally and before you get to probabiities by state you will arrve at a chart called Electoral Vote Distribution which shows the most frequently occurring totals of electoral votes when he runs his simulations..
IF I am reading it correctly, it seems the most frequently occurring scenario is 332, which would be all battlegrounds except NC.
Second would be 347, which would be all battlegrounds
Third would be 303, which means Romney picks off FL and NC
fourth would be 290, meaning Romney also gets Virginia.
IF you add together ALL of the probabilities for these four scenarios, I think they total to around 35-26%
Not saying it means anything, just something I noticed.
Now I have to go board a plane.
Enjoy.